This section gives an example of how the model developed earlier could be extended to account for additional knowledge of the system's structure. Again, if you have not yet been exposed to this particular type of mathematical analysis, simply note that all models can be refined as we gain more knowledge about the system. Think back to the model you identified in the last section. How could you extend this model to make it a better reflection of reality?
Long-term behaviour (Equilibrium, Phase space)
Calculation (spiral points)
On the previous page you learned about saddle points, stable nodes and unstable nodes. On this page you will encounter even more types of equilibrium points.
As you have seen in the last exercise, the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix in the point (31.25,12.03) are complex. Complex numbers are not positive or negative, so this equilibrium point is neither a stable node, nor an unstable node nor a saddle point. So what is it then?
In the phase portrait, you see that the solutions near the equilibrium (31.25,12.03) spiral around it. Can we explain this with the complex eigenvalues you found?
Consider the general form of the solution of \( \vec{M} \) from the video:
\(\vec{M}(t)=c_1 e^{\lambda_1 t} \vec{v}_1+c_2 e^{\lambda_2 t} \vec{v}_2\)
The λ's are complex numbers and the solution contains factors \(e^{λt}\). For exponential functions of complex numbers, we can use Euler's formula
\( e^{i \phi} = \cos (\phi) + i \; \sin (\phi) \)
Take the first eigenvalue λ1, which is complex of the form λ1=a+bi. Then
\(e^{\lambda_1 t}=e^{a t+i b t}=e^{a t}(\cos (b t)+i \sin (b t))\)
(\( \lambda_2 = \overline \lambda_1 = a - bi \) gives a similar expression). The solution \( \vec{M}(t) \) is now an expression with the complex i in it many times. Of course, \(\vec{M}\) denotes a vector with (shifted) population sizes, so it should be real. In this course, we will not go into the details of how you can rewrite the solution for \(\vec{M}\) to a real expression, but just state the result:
When the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are complex numbers: λ=a±bi,
the solutions for \(\vec{M} (t)\) contain factors \(e^{at} \cos (bt)\) and \(e^{at} \sin (bt)\).
Looking at these factors, we see that each component of \(\vec{M} (t)\) has oscillating parts: either \(\cos (bt)\), or \(\sin (bt)\) or both. So all terms oscillate with an angular frequency of b radians per day, where b is the imaginary part of the eigenvalues. The graphs of the solutions versus time oscillate up and down. In the phase portrait the trajectories will circle the origin.
Each component of \(\vec{M} (t)\) also contains a factor \(e^{at}\). If a < 0 that factor decreases in time, so the oscillations will be damped and in phase space the trajectories will spiral in towards the origin. If a > 0, the exponential factor will increase in time, making the oscillations larger and larger, and in the phase plane the trajectories will spiral outwards.
This type of behavior around an equilibrium point makes it a spiral point. When the real part a of the eigenvalue is negative, so a < 0, all solutions that start near the origin will end up in the origin, so that spiral point is a stable equilibrium point. When a > 0, solutions that start near the origin will spiral away from the origin, so then the origin is called an unstable spiral point.
An equilibrium point \(\vec{X}_0\) is called a stable spiral point if the Jacobian matrix \(J (\vec{X}_0)\) has two complex eigenvalues \( \lambda = a \pm bi \) with negative real parts: a < 0. A typical sketch of the solutions near a stable spiral point in the phase plane is given by
An equilibrium point \(\vec{X}_0\) is called an unstable spiral point if the Jacobian matrix \((\vec{X}_0)\) has two complex eigenvalues \( \lambda = a \pm bi \) with positive real parts: a > 0. A phase portrait of an unstable spiral point is given in the following graph.
When a=0, the solution does not spiral inwards nor outwards, so the solution will be periodic, and in phase space the trajectory is a closed curve. Even though that curve is most often an ellips, the equilibrium point is called a circle point.
An equilibrium point \(\vec{X}_0\) is called a circle point if the Jacobian matrix \(J(\vec{X}_0)\) has two complex eigenvalues with zero real parts \( \lambda = a \pm bi \):
Besides the six types of stability for equilibrium points discussed here, other types of stability exist, but these transcend the scope of this course.