From 2030

The Risk

Floods in Thailand:

The Reality of Systemic Risk

In 2011 Thailand experienced its worst floods for five decades. More than 800 people died and over 5 million people were impacted.

10,000 factories closed and 350,000 workers were made redundant. Damage to physical assets cost $21bn, with a further $26.5bn in lost economic opportunities. Insurers and reinsurers paid out $12bn – 70 per cent of which was written outside Thailand, including $2.2bn by Lloyd's of London. As a global supplier of consumer electronics, textiles, and automotive industries, the damage spread beyond Thailand's shores. Honda had to halt production of its Brio subcompact and halve its production as far afield as Swindon, UK, as electronic car components were not available. Thailand is one of the world's leading manufacturers of hard disk drives (HDDs).

In the six weeks after the floods, the price of these doubled: Intel lost $1bn of revenues, and the set-top box manufacturer Pace issued profit warnings.