How is Capital Budgeting Used to Make Decisions?
Site: | Saylor Academy |
Course: | BUS202: Principles of Finance |
Book: | How is Capital Budgeting Used to Make Decisions? |
Printed by: | Guest user |
Date: | Tuesday, May 13, 2025, 8:40 PM |
Description
Read this section, which discusses capital budgeting and decision-making, net present values, annuity tables, and internal rate of return. Large corporations use capital budgeting techniques when investing in real estate projects or large equipment projects.
Introduction
Julie Jackson is the president and owner of Jackson's Quality Copies, a store that makes photocopies for its customers and that has several copy machines. Julie has the following discussion with Mike Haley, the company's accountant:
ulie: | Mike, I think it's time to buy a new copy machine. Our volume of copies has increased dramatically over the last year, and we need a copier that does a better job of handling the big jobs. |
Mike: | Do you have any idea how much the new machine will cost? |
Julie: | We can purchase a new copier for $50,000, maintenance costs will total $1,000 a year, and the copier is expected to last 7 years. Since the new machine is quicker and will require less attention by our employees, we should save about $11,000 a year in labor costs. |
Mike: | Will it have any salvage value at the end of seven years? |
Julie: | Yes. The salvage value should be about $5,000. |
Mike: | How soon do you want to do this? |
Julie: | As soon as possible. From what I can tell, this is a winning proposition. The cash inflows of $82,000 that we will get from the labor cost savings and the salvage value exceed the cash outflows of $57,000 that we expect to spend on the machine and annual maintenance costs. What do you think? |
Mike: | Let me take a look at the numbers before we jump into this. We have to consider more than just total cash inflows and outflows. I'll get back to you by the end of the week. |
Julie: | Okay, thanks for your help! |
Jackson's Quality Copies is facing a decision common to many organizations: whether to invest in equipment that will last for many years or to continue with existing equipment. This type of decision differs from the decisions covered in the previous chapter because long-term investment decisions affect organizations for several years. We will return to Julie's plan to purchase a new copier after we provide background information on long-term investment decisions.
This text was adapted by Saylor Academy under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 License without attribution as requested by the work's original creator or licensor.
Capital Budgeting and Decision Making
Learning Objective
-
Apply the concept of the time value of money to capital budgeting
decisions.
Business in Action 8.1
The Present Value Formula




Key Equation

Present Value Tables
Key Takeaway
- Present value calculations tell us the value of future cash flows in today's dollars. The present value of a cash flow can be calculated by using the formula \(P = F_n ÷ (1 + r)^n\). It can also be calculated by using the tables in the appendix of this chapter. Simply find the factor in Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of " given the number of years (n) and annual interest rate (r). Then multiply the factor by the future cash flow, as follows:
Review Problem 8.1
-
You will receive $5,000, 5 years from today, and the interest rate is 8
percent.
- You will receive $80,000, 9 years from today, and the interest rate is
10 percent.
- You will receive $400,000, 20 years from today, and the interest rate is
20 percent.
- You will receive $250,000, 10 years from today, and the interest rate is
15 percent.
- Using the formula \(P = F_n ÷ (1 + r)^n\), we get
\($3,403= $5,000 ÷ (1+.08)^5\)
Using Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ", we get
\(\text{Present value = Amount received in the future} \times \text{ Present value factor}\)
\($3,403= $5,000 \times 0.6806\) - Using the formula \(P = F_n ÷ (1 + r)^n\), we get
\($33,928= $80,000 ÷ (1+.10)^9\)
Using Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ", we get
\(\text{Present value = Amount received in the future} \times \text{ Present value factor}\)
\($33,928 = $80,000 \times 0.4241\) - The small difference between the two approaches is due to rounding the
factor in Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ".
Using the formula \(P = F_n ÷ (1 + r)^n\), we get
\(10,434= $400,000 ÷ (1+0.20)^{20}\)
Using Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ", we get
\(\text{Present value = Amount received in the future} \times \text{ Present value factor}\)
\($10,440= $400,000 \times 0.0261\) - The small difference between the two approaches is due to rounding the
factor Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ".
Using the formula \(P = F_n ÷ (1 + r)^n\), we get
\($61,800 = $250,000 ÷ (1+0.15)^{10}\)
Using Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of ", we get
\(\text{Present value = Amount received in the future} \times \text{ Present value factor}\)
\($61,800 = $250,000 \times 0.2472\)
Net Present Value
Learning Objective
- Evaluate investments using the net present value (NPV) approach.
Question: Now that we have the tools to calculate the present value of future cash flows, we can use this information to make decisions about long-term investment opportunities. How does this information help companies to evaluate long-term investments?
Answer: The net present value (NPV) method of evaluating investments
adds the present value of all cash inflows and subtracts the present
value of all cash outflows. The term discounted cash flows is also used
to describe the NPV method. In the previous section, we described how to
find the present value of a cash flow. The term net in net present
value means to combine the present value of all cash flows related to an
investment (both positive and negative).
Recall the problem facing Jackson's Quality Copies at the beginning of
the chapter. The company's president and owner, Julie Jackson, would
like to purchase a new copy machine. Julie feels the investment is
worthwhile because the cash inflows over the copier's life total
$82,000, and the cash outflows total $57,000, resulting in net cash
inflows of $25,000 (= $82,000 – $57,000). However, this approach ignores
the timing of the cash flows. We know from the previous section that
the further into the future the cash flows occur, the lower the value in
today's dollars.
Question: How do managers adjust for the timing differences related to
future cash flows?
Answer: Most managers use the NPV approach. This approach requires three
steps to evaluate an investment:
Step 1. Identify the amount and timing of the cash flows required over the life of the investment.
Step 2. Establish an appropriate interest rate to be used for evaluating
the investment, typically called the required rate of return. (This
rate is also called the discount rate or hurdle rate).
Step 3. Calculate and evaluate the NPV of the investment.
Let's use Jackson's Quality Copies as an example to see how this process works.
Step 1. Identify the amount and timing of the cash flows required over
the life of the investment.
Question: What are the cash flows associated with the copy machine that
Jackson's Quality Copies would like to buy?
Answer: Jackson's Quality Copies will pay $50,000 for the new copier,
which is expected to last 7 years. Annual maintenance costs will total
$1,000 a year, labor cost savings will total $11,000 a year, and the
company will sell the copier for $5,000 at the end of 7 years. Figure
8.1 "Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality Copies"
summarizes the cash flows related to this investment. Amounts in
parentheses are cash outflows. All other amounts are cash inflows.
Figure 8.1 Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality
Copies
Step 2. Establish an appropriate interest rate to be used for evaluating the investment.
Question: How do managers establish the interest rate to be used for
evaluating an investment?
Answer: Although managers often estimate the interest rate, this
estimate is typically based on the organization's cost of capital. The
cost of capital is the weighted average costs associated with debt and
equity used to fund long-term investments. The cost of debt is simply
the interest rate associated with the debt (e.g., interest for bank
loans or bonds issued). The cost of equity is more difficult to
determine and represents the return required by owners of the
organization. The weighted average of these two sources of capital
represents the cost of capital (finance textbooks address the
complexities of this calculation in more detail).
The general rule is the higher the risk of the investment, the higher
the required rate of return (assume required rate of return is
synonymous with interest rate for the purpose of calculating the NPV). A
firm evaluating a long-term investment with risk similar to the firm's
average risk will typically use the cost of capital. However, if a
long-term investment carries higher than average risk for the firm, the
firm will use a required rate of return higher than the cost of capital.
The accountant at Jackson's Quality Copies, Mike Haley, has established
the cost of capital for the firm at 10 percent. Since the proposed
purchase of a copy machine is of average risk to the company, Mike will
use 10 percent as the required rate of return.
Step 3. Calculate and evaluate the NPV of the investment.
Question: How do managers calculate the NPV of an investment?
Answer: Figure 8.2 "NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by
Jackson's Quality Copies" shows the NPV calculation for Jackson's
Quality Copies. Examine this table carefully. The cash flows come from
Figure 8.1 "Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality
Copies". The present value factors come from Figure 8.9 "Present Value
of $1 Received at the End of " in the appendix (r = 10 percent; n =
year). The bottom row, labeled present value is calculated by
multiplying the total cash in (out) × present value factor, and it
represents total cash flows for each time period in today's dollars. The
bottom right of Figure 8.2 "NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment
by Jackson's Quality Copies" shows the NPV for the investment, which is
the sum of the bottom row labeled present value.
Figure 8.2 NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality Copies
The NPV is $1,250. Because NPV is > 0, accept the investment. (The
investment provides a return greater than 10 percent.)
The NPV Rule
Question: Once the NPV is calculated, how do managers use this
information to evaluate a long-term investment?
Answer: Managers apply the following rule to decide whether to proceed
with the investment:
NPV Rule: If the NPV is greater than or equal to zero, accept the
investment; otherwise, reject the investment.
As summarized in Figure 8.3 "The NPV Rule", if the NPV is greater than
zero, the rate of return from the investment is higher than the required
rate of return. If the NPV is zero, the rate of return from the
investment equals the required rate of return. If the NPV is less than
zero, the rate of return from the investment is less than the required
rate of return. Since the NPV is greater than zero for Jackson's Quality
Copies, the investment is generating a return greater than the
company's required rate of return of 10 percent.
Figure 8.3 The NPV Rule
Note that the present value calculations in Figure 8.3 "The NPV Rule" assume that the cash flows for years 1 through 7 occur at the end of each year. In reality, these cash flows occur throughout each year. The impact of this assumption on the NPV calculation is typically negligible.
Business in Action 8.2
Cost of Capital by Industry
Cost of capital can be estimated for a single company or for entire
industries. New York University's Stern School of Business maintains
cost of capital figures by industry. Almost 7,000 firms were included in
accumulating this information. The following sampling of industries
compares the cost of capital across industries. Notice that high-risk
industries (e.g., computer, e-commerce, Internet, and semiconductor)
have relatively high costs of capital.
Air transportation | 11.48 percent |
Auto and truck | 11.04 percent |
Auto parts | 9.56 percent |
Beverage (soft drinks) | 8.16 percent |
Computer | 14.49 percent |
E-commerce | 15.65 percent |
Grocery | 9.79 percent |
Internet | 15.98 percent |
Retail store | 9.30 percent |
Semiconductor | 19.03 percent |
Annuity Tables
Question: Notice in Figure 8.1 "Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment
by Jackson's Quality Copies" that the rows labeled maintenance cost and
labor savings have identical cash flows from one year to the next.
Identical cash flows that occur in regular intervals, such as these at
Jackson's Quality Copies, are called an annuity. How can we use
annuities in an alternate format to calculate the NPV?
Answer: In Figure 8.4 "Alternative NPV Calculation for Jackson's Quality
Copies", we demonstrate an alternative approach to calculating the NPV.
Figure 8.4 Alternative NPV Calculation for Jackson's Quality Copies
*Because this is not an annuity, use Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1
Received at the End of " in the appendix.
**Because this is an annuity, use Figure 8.10 "Present Value of a $1 Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for " in the appendix. The number of years (n) equals seven since identical cash flows occur each year for seven years.
Note: the NPV of $1,250 is the same as the NPV in Figure 8.2 "NPV
Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality Copies".
The purchase price and salvage value rows in Figure 8.4 "Alternative NPV
Calculation for Jackson's Quality Copies" represent one-time cash
flows, and thus we use Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the
End of " in the appendix to find the present value factor for these
items (these are not annuities). The annual maintenance costs and annual
labor savings rows represent cash flows that occur each year for seven
years (these are annuities). We use Figure 8.10 "Present Value of a $1
Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for " in the appendix to find
the present value factor for these items (note that the number of
years, n, equals seven since the cash flows occur each year for seven
years). Simply multiply the cash flow shown in column (A) by the present
value factor shown in column (B) to find the present value for each
line item. Then sum the present value column to find the NPV. This
alternative approach results in the same NPV shown in Figure 8.2 "NPV
Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality Copies".
Business in Action 8.3
Winning the Lottery
Like many other states, California pays out lottery winnings in
installments over several years. For example, a $1,000,000 lottery
winner in California will receive $50,000 each year for 20 years.
Does this mean that the State of California must have $1,000,000 on the
day the winner claims the prize? No. In fact, California has
approximately $550,000 in cash to pay $1,000,000 over 20 years. This
$550,000 in cash represents the present value of a $50,000 annuity
lasting 20 years, and the state invests it so that it can provide
$1,000,000 to the winner over 20 years.
Key Takeaway
-
Present value calculations tell us the value of cash flows in today's
dollars. The NPV method adds the present value of all cash inflows and
subtracts the present value of all cash outflows related to a long-term
investment. If the NPV is greater than or equal to zero, accept the
investment; otherwise, reject the investment.
Review Problem 8.2
The management of Chip Manufacturing, Inc., would like to purchase a
specialized production machine for $700,000. The machine is expected to
have a life of 4 years, and a salvage value of $100,000. Annual
maintenance costs will total $30,000. Annual labor and material savings
are predicted to be $250,000. The company's required rate of return is
15 percent.
-
Ignoring the time value of money, calculate the net cash inflow or
outflow resulting from this investment opportunity.
- Find the NPV of this investment using the format presented in Figure 8.2
"NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality
Copies".
- Find the NPV of this investment using the format presented in Figure 8.4
"Alternative NPV Calculation for Jackson's Quality Copies".
- Should Chip Manufacturing, Inc., purchase the specialized production machine? Explain.
Solution to Review Problem 8.2
-
The net cash inflow, ignoring the time value of money, is $280,000,
calculated as follows:
- The NPV is $(14,720), calculated as follows:
- The alternative format used for calculating the NPV is shown as follows.
Note that the NPV here is identical to the NPV calculated previously in
part 2.
*Because this is not an annuity, use Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of " in the appendix.
**Because this is an annuity, use Figure 8.10 "Present Value of a $1 Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for " in the appendix. The number of years (n) equals four since identical cash flows occur each year for four years.
- Because the NPV is less than 0, the return generated by this investment is less than the company's required rate of return of 15 percent. Thus Chip Manufacturing, Inc., should not purchase the specialized production machine
The Internal Rate of Return
Learning Objective
-
Evaluate investments using the internal rate of return (IRR) approach.
Question: Using the internal rate of return (IRR) to evaluate investments is similar to using the net present value (NPV) in that both methods consider the time value of money. However, the IRR provides additional information that helps companies evaluate long-term investments. What is the IRR, and how does it help managers make decisions related to long-term investments?
Answer: The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate required (r) to
get an NPV of zero for a series of cash flows. The IRR represents the
time-adjusted rate of return for the investment being considered. The
IRR decision rule states that if the IRR is greater than or equal to the
company's required rate of return (recall that this is often called the
hurdle rate), the investment is accepted; otherwise, the investment is
rejected.
Most managers use a spreadsheet, such as Excel, to calculate the IRR for
an investment (we discuss this later in the chapter). However, we can
also use trial and error to approximate the IRR. The goal is simply to
find the rate that generates an NPV of zero. Let's go back to the
Jackson's Quality Copies example. Figure 8.4 "Alternative NPV
Calculation for Jackson's Quality Copies" provides the projected cash
flows for a new copy machine and the NPV calculation using a rate of 10
percent. Recall that the NPV was $1,250, indicating the investment
generates a return greater than the company's required rate of return of
10 percent.
Although it is useful to know that the investment's return is greater than the company's required rate of return, managers often want to know the exact return generated by the investment. (It is often not enough to state that the exact return is something higher than 10 percent!) Managers also like to rank investment opportunities by the return each investment is expected to generate. Our goal now is to determine the exact return - that is, to determine the IRR. We know from Figure 8.4 "Alternative NPV Calculation for Jackson's Quality Copies" that the copy machine investment generates a return greater than 10 percent. Figure 8.5 "Finding the IRR for Jackson's Quality Copies" summarizes this calculation with the 2 columns under the 10 percent heading.
The far right side of Figure 8.5 "Finding the IRR for Jackson's Quality Copies" shows that the NPV is $(2,100) if the rate is increased to 12 percent (recall our goal is to find the rate that yields an NPV of 0). Thus the IRR is between 10 and 12 percent. Next, we try 11 percent. As shown in the middle of Figure 8.5 "Finding the IRR for Jackson's Quality Copies", 11 percent provides an NPV of $(469). Thus the IRR is between 10 and 11 percent; it is closer to 11 percent because $(469) is closer to 0 than $1,250. (Note that as the rate increases, the NPV decreases, and as the rate decreases, the NPV increases).
Figure 8.5 Finding the IRR for Jackson's Quality Copies
*Because this is not an annuity, use Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1
Received at the End of " in the appendix.
**Because this is an annuity, use Figure 8.10 "Present Value of a $1
Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for " in the appendix. The
number of years (n) equals seven since identical cash flows occur each
year for seven years.
Note: the NPV of $(469) is closest to 0. Thus the IRR is close to 11
percent.
This trial and error approach allows us to approximate the IRR. As
stated earlier, if the IRR is greater than or equal to the company's
required rate of return, the investment is accepted; otherwise, the
investment is rejected. For Jackson's Quality Copies, the IRR of
approximately 11 percent is greater than the company's required rate of
return of 10 percent. Thus the investment should be accepted.
Computer Application
Using Excel to Calculate NPV and IRR
Let's use the Jackson's Quality Copies example presented at the beginning of the chapter to illustrate how Excel can be used to calculate the NPV and IRR. Two steps are required to calculate the NPV and IRR using Excel. All cell references are to the following spreadsheet shown.
Step 1. Enter the data in the spreadsheet.
Rows 1 through 7 in the spreadsheet show the cash flows associated with
the proposal to purchase a new copy machine at Jackson's Quality Copies
(first presented in Figure 8.1 "Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment
by Jackson's Quality Copies").
Step 2. Input the functions to calculate NPV and IRR.
We selected cell H16 to calculate the NPV, so this is where the NPV
function is input. Cell E16 shows the function in detail with dialogue
boxes provided for clarification. Notice that the resulting NPV of
$1,250 shown in cell H16 is the same as the NPV calculated in Figure 8.2
"NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality
Copies" and Figure 8.4 "Alternative NPV Calculation for Jackson's
Quality Copies".
We selected cell H28 to calculate the IRR, so this is where the IRR
function is input. Cell E28 shows the function in detail. Notice that
the resulting IRR of 10.72 percent shown in cell H28 is very close to
our approximation of slightly less than 11 percent shown in Figure 8.5
"Finding the IRR for Jackson's Quality Copies".
As an alternative to entering a function directly into the spreadsheet,
the NPV function under the Formulas menu in Excel can be used. Simply
select the cell in the spreadsheet where you would like the answer to
appear (H16 in this case), and go to the Formulas menu. Click on the fx
symbol or Insert Function on the formula bar. Search for the function by
typing in NPV, select NPV where it appears in the box, then select OK.
When asked for the Rate, enter the cell where the rate appears (B10).
Then under Value 1 enter the cells containing the series of cash flows,
starting with year 1 (shown as C7:I7, which means C7 through I7). Select
OK. Now go back and add the cash flow at time 0 (B7) to the end of the
NPV function. The resulting formula will look like the formula shown in
E16, and the answer will appear in the cell where the function is
entered (H16).
The IRR function can be inserted into a cell using the same process presented previously. Select the cell in the spreadsheet where you would like the answer to appear (H28), and go to the Formulas menu. Click on the fx symbol or Insert Function on the formula bar. Search for the function by typing in IRR, select IRR where it appears in the box below, then select OK. When asked for Values, enter the cells containing the series of cash flows, starting with time 0 (shown as B7:I7, which means B7 through I7). When asked for a Guess, enter your best guess as to what the IRR might be (this provides the system with a starting point), then select OK. The resulting formula will look like the formula shown in E28, and the answer will appear in the cell where the function is entered (H28).
Key Takeaway
-
The IRR is the rate required (r) to get an NPV of zero for a series of
cash flows and represents the time-adjusted rate of return for an
investment. If the IRR is greater than or equal to the company's
required rate of return (often called the hurdle rate), the investment
is accepted; otherwise, the investment is rejected.
Review Problem 8.3
This review problem is a continuation of Note 8.17 "Review Problem 8.2",
and uses the same information. The management of Chip Manufacturing,
Inc., would like to purchase a specialized production machine for
$700,000. The machine is expected to have a life of 4 years, and a
salvage value of $100,000. Annual maintenance costs will total $30,000.
Annual labor and material savings are predicted to be $250,000. The
company's required rate of return is 15 percent.
- Based on your answer to Note 8.17 "Review Problem 8.2", use trial and
error to approximate the IRR for this investment proposal.
- Should Chip Manufacturing, Inc., purchase the specialized production
machine? Explain.
Solution to Review Problem 8.3
-
In Note 8.17 "Review Problem 8.2", the NPV was calculated using 15
percent (the company's required rate of return). Knowing that 15 percent
results in an NPV of $(14,720), and therefore seeing the return is less
than 15 percent, we decreased the rate to 13 percent. As shown in the
following figure, this resulted in an NPV of $15,720, which indicates
the return is higher than 13 percent. Using a rate of 14 percent results
in an NPV very close to 0 at $224. Thus the IRR is close to 14 percent.*Because this is not an annuity, use Figure 8.9 "Present Value of $1 Received at the End of " in the appendix.
**Because this is an annuity, use Figure 8.10 "Present Value of a $1 Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for " in the appendix. The number of years (n) equals four since identical cash flows occur each year for four years. - Because the IRR of 14 percent is less than the company's required rate
of return of 15 percent, Chip Manufacturing, Inc., should not purchase
the specialized production machine.
Other Factors Affecting NPV and IRR Analysis
Learning Objective
-
Understand the impact of cash flows, qualitative factors, and ethical
issues on long-term investment decisions.
Question: We have described the net present value (NPV) and internal
rate of return (IRR) approaches to evaluating long-term investments.
With both of these approaches, there are several important issues that
must be considered. What are these important issues?
Answer: These issues include focusing on cash flows, factoring in
inflation, assessing qualitative factors, and ethical considerations.
All are described next.
Focusing on Cash Flows
Question: Which basis of accounting is used to calculate the NPV and IRR
for long-term investments, cash or accrual?
Answer: Both methods of evaluating long-term investments, NPV and IRR, focus on the amount of cash flows and when the cash flows occur. Note that the timing of revenues and costs in financial accounting using the accrual basis is often not the same as when the cash inflows and outflows occur. A sale can be recorded in one period, and the cash be collected in a future period. Costs can occur in one period, and the cash be paid in a future period. For the purpose of making NPV and IRR calculations, managers typically use the time period when the cash flow occurs.
When a company invests in a long-term asset, such as a production
building, the cash outflow for the asset is included in the NPV and IRR
analyses. The depreciation taken on the asset in future periods is not a
cash flow and is not included in the NPV and IRR calculations. However,
there is a cash benefit related to depreciation (often called a
depreciation tax shield) since income taxes paid are reduced as a result
of recording depreciation expense. We explore the impact of income
taxes on NPV and IRR calculations later in the chapter.
Factoring in Inflation
Question: Is inflation included in cash flow projections when calculating the NPV and IRR?
Answer: Most managers make cash flow projections that include an adjustment for inflation. When this is done, a rate must be used that also factors in inflation over the life of the investment. As discussed earlier in the chapter, the required rate of return used for NPV calculations is based on the firm's cost of capital, which is the weighted average cost of debt and equity. Since the cost of debt and equity already includes the effect of inflation, no inflation adjustment is necessary when establishing the required rate of return.
The important point here is that cash flow projections must include
adjustments for inflation to match the required rate of return, which
already factors in inflation. If cash flows are not adjusted for
inflation, managers are likely underestimating future cash flows and
therefore underestimating the NPV of the investment opportunity. This is
particularly pronounced for economies that have relatively high rates
of inflation.
For the purposes of this chapter, assume all cash flows and required
rates of return are adjusted for inflation.
Be Aware of Qualitative Factors
Question: So far, this chapter has focused on using cash flow
projections and the time value of money to evaluate long-term
investments. Using these quantitative factors to make decisions allows
managers to support decisions with measurable data. For example, the
investment opportunity at Jackson's Quality Copies presented at the
beginning of the chapter was accepted because the NPV of $1,250 was
greater than 0, and the IRR of 11 percent was greater than the company's
required rate of return of 10 percent. Why do most companies also
consider nonfinancial factors, often called qualitative factors, when
making a long-term investment decision?
Answer: Although using quantitative factors for decision making is
important, qualitative factors may outweigh the quantitative factors in
making a decision. For example, a large manufacturer of medical devices
recently invested several million dollars in a small start-up medical
device firm. When asked about the NPV analysis, the manager responsible
for the investment indicated, "My staff did a quick and dirty NPV
analysis, which indicated we should not invest in the company. However,
the technology they were using for their device was of such strategic
importance to us, we could not pass up the investment". This is an
example of qualitative factors (strategic importance to the company)
outweighing quantitative factors (negative NPV).
Similar situations often arise when companies must invest in long-term
assets even though NPV and IRR analyses indicate otherwise. Here are a
few examples:
- Investing in new production facilities may be essential to maintaining a reputation as the industry leader in innovation, even though the quantitative analysis (NPV and IRR) points to rejecting the investment. (It is difficult to quantify the benefits of being the "industry leader in innovation").
- Investing in pollution control devices for an oil refinery may provide social benefits even though the quantitative analysis (NPV and IRR) points to rejecting the investment. (Although a reduction in fines and legal costs may be quantifiable and included in the analyses, it is difficult to quantify the social benefits).
- Investing in a new product line of entry-level automobiles may increase foot traffic at the showroom, resulting in increased sales of other products, even though the quantitative analysis (NPV and IRR) points to rejecting the investment. (It is difficult to quantify the impact of the new product line on sales of existing product lines).
Clearly, managers must look at the financial information and analysis
when considering whether to invest in long-term assets. However, the
analysis does not stop with financial information. Managers and decision
makers must also consider qualitative factors.
Ethical Issues
Question: Our discussion of NPV and IRR methods implies that managers
can easily make capital budgeting decisions once NPV and IRR analyses
are completed and qualitative factors have been considered. However,
managers sometimes make decisions that are not in the best interest of
the company. Why might managers make decisions that are not in the best
interest of the company?
Answer: Several examples are provided next.
Short-Term Incentives Affect Long-Term Decisions
Managers are often evaluated and compensated based on annual financial
results. The financial results are typically measured using financial
accounting data prepared on an accrual basis.
Suppose you are a manager considering an investment opportunity to start
a new product line that has a positive NPV. Because the NPV is
positive, you should accept the investment proposal. However, revenues
and related cash inflows are not significant until after the second
year. In the first two years, revenues are low and depreciation charges
are high, resulting in significantly lower overall company net income
than if the project were rejected. Assuming you are evaluated and
compensated based on annual net income, you may be inclined to reject
the new product line regardless of the NPV analysis.
Many companies are aware of this conflict between the manager's
incentive to improve short-term results and the company's goal to
improve long-term results. To mitigate this conflict, some companies
offer managers part ownership in the company (e.g., through stock
options), creating an incentive to increase the value of the company
over the long run.
Modifying Cash Flow Estimates to Get Approval
Managers often have a vested interest in getting proposals approved
regardless of NPV and IRR results. For example, assume a manager spent
several years developing a plan to construct a new production facility.
Because of the significant work involved, and the projected benefits of
building a new facility, the manager wants to see the proposal approved.
However, the NPV analysis indicates the production facility proposal
does not meet the company's minimum required rate of return. As a
result, the manager decides to inflate projected cash inflows to get a
positive NPV, and the project is approved.
Clearly, a conflict exists between the company's desire to accept
projects that meet or exceed the required rate of return and the
manager's desire to get approval for a "pet" project regardless of its
profitability. Again, having part ownership in a company provides an
incentive for managers to reject proposals that will not increase the
value of the company.
Another way to mitigate this conflict is to conduct a postaudit, which
compares the original capital budget with the actual results. Managers
who provide misleading capital budget analyses are identified through
this process. Postaudits provide an incentive for managers to provide
accurate estimates.
Key Takeaway
- Although accountants are responsible for providing relevant and
objective financial information to help managers make decisions, several
important factors play a significant role in the decision-making
process as described here:
- NPV and IRR analyses use cash flows to evaluate long-term investments
rather than the accrual basis of accounting.
- Cash flow projections must include adjustments for inflation to match
the required rate of return, which already factor in inflation.
- Using quantitative factors to make decisions allows managers to support
decisions with measurable data. However, nonfinancial factors (often
called qualitative factors) must be considered as well.
- Circumstances sometimes exist that cause managers to make decisions that
are not in the best interest of the company. For example, managers may
be evaluated on short-term financial results even though it is in the
best interest of the company to invest in projects that are profitable
in the long term. Thus projects that reduce short-term profitability in
lieu of significant long-term profits may be rejected.
- NPV and IRR analyses use cash flows to evaluate long-term investments
rather than the accrual basis of accounting.
Review Problem 8.4
-
Why must cash flow projections include adjustments for inflation?
- Why is it important for organizations to consider qualitative factors
when making capital budgeting decisions?
- Assume the manager of Best Electronics earns an annual bonus based on
meeting a certain level of net income. The company is currently
considering expanding by adding a second retail store. The second store
is expected to become profitable three years after opening. The manager
is responsible for making the final decision as to whether the second
store should be opened and would be in charge of both stores.
- Why might the manager refuse to invest in the new store even though the investment is projected to achieve a return greater than the company's required rate of return?
- What can the company do to mitigate the conflict between the manager's interest of achieving the bonus and the company's desire to accept investments that exceed the required rate of return?
-
Projected cash flows must include an adjustment for inflation to match
the required rate of return. The required rate of return is based on the
company's weighted average cost of debt and equity. The cost of debt
and equity already factors in inflation. Thus the cash flows must also
factor in inflation to be consistent with the required rate of return.
- Although managers prefer to make capital budgeting decisions based on quantifiable data (e.g., using NPV or IRR), nonfinancial factors may outweigh financial factors. For example, maintaining a reputation as the industry leader may require investing in long-term assets, even though the investment does not meet the minimum required rate of return. The management believes the qualitative factor of being the industry leader is critical to the company's future success and decides to make the investment.
- Best Electronics is considering opening a second store.
- The manager's bonus is based on achieving a certain level of net income
each year, and the new store will likely cause net income to decrease in
the first two years. Thus the manager may not be able to achieve the
net income necessary to qualify for the bonus if the company invests in
the new store.
- To mitigate this conflict, Best Electronics can offer the manager part ownership in the company (perhaps through stock options). This would provide an incentive for the manager to increase profit - and therefore company value - over many years. The company may also adjust the net income required to earn a bonus to account for the losses expected in the new store for the first two years.
- The manager's bonus is based on achieving a certain level of net income
each year, and the new store will likely cause net income to decrease in
the first two years. Thus the manager may not be able to achieve the
net income necessary to qualify for the bonus if the company invests in
the new store.
The Payback Method
Learning Objective
- Evaluate investments using the payback method.
Question: Although the net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR) methods are the most commonly used approaches to evaluating investments, some managers also use the payback method. What is the payback method, and how does it help managers make decisions related to long-term investments?
Answer: The payback method evaluates how long it will take to "pay back"
or recover the initial investment. The payback period, typically stated
in years, is the time it takes to generate enough cash receipts from an
investment to cover the cash outflows for the investment.
Managers who are concerned about cash flow want to know how long it will take to recover the initial investment. The payback method provides this information. Managers may also require a payback period equal to or less than some specified time period. For example, Julie Jackson, the owner of Jackson's Quality Copies, may require a payback period of no more than five years, regardless of the NPV or IRR.
Note that the payback method has two significant weaknesses. First, it
does not consider the time value of money. Second, it only considers the
cash inflows until the investment cash outflows are recovered; cash
inflows after the payback period are not part of the analysis. Both of
these weaknesses require that managers use care when applying the
payback method.
Payback Method Example
Question: What is the payback period for the proposed purchase of a copy
machine at Jackson's Quality Copies?
Answer: The payback period is five years. Here's how we calculate it. Figure 8.6 "Summary of Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality Copies" repeats the cash flow estimates for Julie Jackson's planned purchase of a copy machine for Jackson's Quality Copies, the example presented at the beginning of the chapter.
Figure 8.6 Summary of Cash Flows for Copy Machine Investment by
Jackson's Quality Copies
The payback method answers the question "how long will it take to
recover my initial $50,000 investment?" With annual cash inflows of
$10,000 starting in year 1, the payback period for this investment is 5
years (= $50,000 initial investment ÷ $10,000 annual cash receipts).
This calculation is relatively simple when one investment is made at the
beginning, and annual cash inflows are identical. However, some
investments require cash outflows at different points throughout the
life of the asset, and cash inflows can vary from one year to the next.
Table 8.1 "Calculating the Payback Period for Jackson's Quality Copies"
provides a format to help calculate the payback period for these more
complex investments. Note that the review problem at the end of this
segment provides an example of how to calculate the payback period to
the nearest month when uneven cash flows are expected.
Table 8.1 Calculating the Payback Period for Jackson's Quality Copies
Investment (Cash Outflow) | Cash Inflow | Unrecovered Investment Balance | |
---|---|---|---|
Year 0 | $(50,000) | - | $(50,000)a |
Year 1 | - | $10,000 | (40,000)b |
Year 2 | - | 10,000 | (30,000)c |
Year 3 | - | 10,000 | (20,000) |
Year 4 | - | 10,000 | (10,000) |
Year 5 | - | 10,000 | 0 |
Year 6 | - | 10,000 | 0 |
Year 7 | - | 15,000 | 0 |
a $(50,000) = $(50,000) initial investment. b $(40,000) = $(50,000) unrecovered investment balance + $10,000 year 1 cash inflow. c $(30,000) = $(40,000) unrecovered investment balance at end of year 1 + $10,000 year 2 cash inflow. |
Weaknesses of the Payback Method
Question: Why is it a problem to ignore the time value of money when
calculating the payback period?
Answer: Suppose you have 2 investments of $10,000 to choose from. The
first investment generates cash inflows of $8,000 in year 1, $2,000 in
year 2, and $1,000 in year 3. The second investment generates cash
inflows of $2,000 in year 1, $8,000 in year 2, and $1,000 in year 3. The
two investments are summarized here:
Investment I | Investment II | |
Year 0 | $(10,000) | $(10,000) |
Year 1 | 8,000 | 2,000 |
Year 2 | 2,000 | 8,000 |
Year 3 | 1,000 | 1,000 |
Investment I | Investment II | |
Year 0 | $(50,000) | $(50,000) |
Year 1 | 25,000 | 2,000 |
Year 2 | 25,000 | 2,000 |
Year 3 | 3,000 | 46,000 |
Year 4 | 0 | 35,000 |
Wrap-Up of Chapter
Julie: | Hi Mike, any news on the copy machine proposal? |
Mike: | I ran the numbers for the new copy machine, and I think you'll like the results. It's not as simple as looking at the difference between cash outflows of $57,000 and cash inflows of $82,000 over the life of the asset. We also have to see when the cash flows occur and convert them into today's dollars. |
Julie: | OK. What did you find? |
Mike: | The NPV is $1,250 using a required rate of return of 10 percent. This means the investment will generate a return of more than 10 percent after converting the cash flows into today's dollars. |
Julie: | Great! I realize the return is expected to be above 10 percent. Do you have a sense of how far above 10 percent? |
Mike: | Yes. The IRR is about 11 percent. I also calculated the payback period to give you an idea of how long it will take to recover our initial $50,000 investment. |
Julie: | Good idea. My hope is that we won't be waiting too long to recover the original investment. |
Mike: | It will take 5 years to fully recover the $50,000 investment. |
Julie: | Wow! That seems like a long time. |
Mike: | It is. But realize we bring in an additional $25,000 after the payback period. Also, the payback method does not measure the profitability of the investment, it simply tells us how long before the initial investment is recovered. Unless we anticipate cash flow problems, I wouldn't place too much importance on the payback period. The NPV and IRR calculations are the best for evaluating this investment. |
Julie: | Good point. We don't expect to have cash flow problems. We have plenty of capital, and the business has generated positive cash flow for the past 10 years. Let's order the new machine! |
Business in Action 8.4
NPV | 85 percent |
IRR | 77 percent |
Payback | 53 percent |
Key Takeaway
- The payback method evaluates how long it will take to "pay back" or recover the initial investment. The payback period, typically stated in years, is the time it takes to generate enough cash receipts from an investment to cover the cash outflow(s) for the investment. Although this method is useful for managers concerned about cash flow, the major weaknesses of this method are that it ignores the time value of money, and it ignores cash flows after the payback period.
Review Problem 8.5
- Use the format in Table 8.1 "Calculating the Payback Period for Jackson's Quality Copies" to calculate the payback period. Clearly state your conclusion.
- Describe the two major weaknesses of the payback method.
- The payback period is slightly more than three years since only $40,000 is left to be recovered after three years, as shown in the following table.
Investment (Cash Outflow) | Cash Inflow | Unrecovered Investment Balance | |
Year 0 | $(700,000) | - | $(700,000) |
Year 1 | - | $220,000a | (480,000) |
Year 2 | - | 220,000a | (260,000) |
Year 3 | - | 220,000a | (40,000) |
Year 4 | - | 320,000b | 0 |
a $220,000 = $250,000 annual savings – $30,000 annual costs. b $320,000 = $250,000 annual savings – $30,000 annual costs + $100,000 salvage value. |
---|
- First, the payback method does not consider the time value of money (no present value or IRR calculations are performed). Second, it only considers the cash inflows until the investment cash outflows are recovered; cash inflows after the payback period are not part of the analysis. For Chip Manufacturing, Inc., the payback period is three years and two months. However, significant cash inflows totaling $280,000 occur after the payback period and therefore are ignored ($280,000 = $320,000 year 4 cash inflows – $40,000 remaining investment recovered in the first 2 months of year 4).
Additional Complexities of Estimating Cash Flows
Learning Objective
-
Evaluate investments with multiple investment and working capital cash
flows.
Question: The examples in this chapter are intended to help you learn
the basics of evaluating investments using the net present value (NPV),
internal rate of return (IRR), and payback methods. However, there are
two additional items related to estimating cash flows that must be
considered: investment cash outflows and working capital. How do these
two items impact long-term investment decisions?
Answer: These items impact the analysis of long-term investments as described next.
Investment Cash Outflows
The examples thus far have assumed that cash outflows for the investment
occur only at the beginning of the investment. However, some
investments require cash outflows at varying points throughout the life
of the project. For example, suppose the JCPenney Company plans to open a
new store, which requires a $10,000,000 investment at the beginning of
the project for construction of the building. However, the building will
be expanded at the end of year 4, at a cost of $2,000,000, to meet an
expected increase in demand. The $2,000,000 cash outflow must be
included in the cash flows of the project for year 4 when calculating
the NPV, IRR, and payback period.
Working Capital
Working capital is defined as current assets (cash, accounts receivable,
inventory, and the like) minus current liabilities (accounts payable,
wages payable, and accrued liabilities, for instance). Many long-term
investments require working capital. For example, JCPenney will need
cash in its registers when it opens the new store. Working capital is
also required to fund inventory and accounts receivable. Working capital
necessary for long-term investments should be included as a cash
outflow, typically at the beginning of the project.
Some long-term investments have an expected life, at the end of which
working capital is returned to the company for investment elsewhere.
When this happens, the working capital is included in the cash flow
analysis as a cash outflow at the beginning of the project and a cash
inflow at the end of the project.
Key Takeaway
-
Investment proposals often include investment cash outflows at varying
points throughout the life of the project. These cash flows must be
included when evaluating investment proposals using NPV, IRR, and
payback period methods. Many investments include working capital cash
flows required to fund items such as inventory and accounts receivable.
Working capital is included as a cash outflow, typically at the
beginning of the project, and is often returned back to the company as a
cash inflow later in the project.
Review Problem 8.6
The management of Environmental Engineering, Inc. (EEI), would like to
open an office for 6 years in a high-growth area of Las Vegas. The
initial investment required to purchase an office building is $250,000,
and EEI needs $50,000 in working capital for the new office. Working
capital will be returned to EEI at the end of 6 years. EEI expects to
remodel the office at the end of 3 years at a cost of $200,000. Annual
net cash receipts from daily operations (cash receipts minus cash
payments) are expected to be as follows:
Year 1 | $ 60,000 |
Year 2 | $ 80,000 |
Year 3 | $120,000 |
Year 4 | $150,000 |
Year 5 | $160,000 |
Year 6 | $110,000 |
Although the company's cost of capital is 8 percent, management set a
required rate of return of 12 percent due to the high risk associated
with this project.
-
Find the NPV of this investment using the format presented in Figure 8.2
"NPV Calculation for Copy Machine Investment by Jackson's Quality
Copies".
- Use trial and error to approximate the IRR for this investment proposal.
- Based on your answers to 1 and 2, should EEI open the new office?
Explain.
- Use the format in Table 8.1 "Calculating the Payback Period for
Jackson's Quality Copies" to calculate the payback period.
-
The NPV is $27,571, as shown in the following figure.
Note: The NPV is $27,571. Because NPV is > 0, accept the investment. (The investment provides a return greater than 12 percent).
- The IRR is between 14 and 15 percent (approximately 14.5 percent). The
IRR is the rate that generates a NPV of zero. Because the NPV is
positive at 12 percent, the return is higher than 12 percent. The NPV is
calculated as follows using a rate of 14 percent, NPV = $5,007, and 15
percent, NPV = $(5,446). Thus the IRR is between 14 and 15 percent.
NPV at 14 percent is
NPV at 15 percent is
- Yes. The NPV is positive at $27,571, and the IRR of 14.5 percent is
higher than the company's required rate of return of 12 percent. Thus
EEI should open the office in Las Vegas.
- The payback period is approximately 4.5 years. This approximation
assumes the $90,000 unrecovered investment at the end of year 4 will be
recovered about halfway through year
-
Investment (Cash Outflow) Cash Inflow Unrecovered Investment Balance Year 0 $(300,000) - $(300,000) Year 1 - $ 60,000 (240,000)a Year 2 - 80,000 (160,000)b Year 3 (200,000) 120,000 (240,000)c Year 4 - 150,000 (90,000) Year 5 - 160,000 0 Year 6 - 160,000 0 a $(240,000) = $(300,000) unrecovered investment + $60,000 year 1 cash inflow.
b $(160,000) = $(240,000) unrecovered investment at end of year 1 + $80,000 year 2 cash inflow.
c $(240,000) = $(160,000) unrecovered investment at end of year 2 – $200,000 year 3 investment + $120,000 year 3 cash inflow.
A more precise calculation can be performed assuming the $160,000 cash inflow for year 5 occurs evenly throughout the year. Simply calculate how many months are required in year 5 to recover the remaining $90,000. $90,000 divided by $160,000 equals 0.56 (rounded). Thus 0.56 of a year, or approximately 7 months (= 0.56 × 12 months), is required to recover the remaining $90,000. This more precise calculation results in a payback period of four years and seven months.
The Effect of Income Taxes on Capital Budgeting Decisions
Learning Objective
- Understand the impact that income taxes have on capital budgeting decisions.
Question: Throughout the chapter, we assumed no income taxes were involved. This is a reasonable assumption for not-for-profit entities and governmental agencies. However, firms that pay income taxes must consider the impact income taxes have on cash flows for long-term investments. How do for-profit organizations include income taxes in their analysis when making long-term investment decisions?
Answer: Let's look at an example to help explain how this works. The
management of Scientific Products, Inc. (SPI), is considering a
five-year contract to build scientific instruments for a large school
district. The initial investment required to purchase production
equipment is $400,000 (to be depreciated over 5 years using the
straight-line method, with no salvage value). An additional $50,000 in
working capital is required for the contract. Working capital will be
returned to SPI at the end of five years. Annual net cash receipts from
daily operations (cash receipts minus cash payments) are shown as
follows. Since depreciation expense is not a cash outflow, it is not
included in these amounts.
Year 1 | $ 50,000 |
Year 2 | $ 60,000 |
Year 3 | $120,000 |
Year 4 | $200,000 |
Year 5 | $130,000 |
Management established a required rate of return of 10 percent for this proposal. The company's tax rate is 40 percent. (The complexities of government tax codes have a significant impact on the tax rate used. For simplicity, we use a tax rate of 40 percent for this example).
When taxes are involved, it is important to understand which cash flows
are affected by the tax rate and which are not. We look at this by
addressing the following capital budgeting items:
- Investment cash outflows
- Working capital cash outflows and inflows
- Revenue cash inflows and expense cash outflows
- Depreciation

- Investment Cash Outflows. The initial investment in production equipment of $400,000 is not adjusted for income taxes because it does not directly affect net income. Thus this amount is included in full in Figure 8.7 "NPV Calculation with Income Taxes for Scientific Products, Inc.".
- Working Capital Cash Outflows and Inflows. Working capital of $50,000 is not adjusted for income taxes since it does not affect net income. Thus this amount is included in full as a cash outflow at the beginning of the project and again in full when returned to the company at the end of the project, as shown in Figure 8.7 "NPV Calculation with Income Taxes for Scientific Products, Inc.".
- Revenues and Expenses. When a company must pay income taxes, all revenue
cash inflows and expense cash outflows affect net income and therefore
affect income taxes paid. The goal is to determine the after-tax cash
flow. This is calculated in the equation that follows.
The tax rate for Scientific Products, Inc., is 40 percent. Thus net cash receipts (revenue cash inflows minus expense cash outflows) are multiplied by 0.60 (= 1 – 0.40). This results in an after-tax cash flow, as shown in Figure 8.7 "NPV Calculation with Income Taxes for Scientific Products, Inc.".Key Equation
After-tax revenue cash inflow = Before-tax cash inflow × (1 – tax rate) After-tax expense cash outflow = Before-tax cash outflow × (1 – tax rate) - Depreciation. Although depreciation expense is not a cash outflow, it
does reduce taxable income and thereby reduces taxes that are paid
(recall that the entry to record depreciation for financial accounting
purposes does not affect cash; debit depreciation expense and credit
accumulated depreciation). The term used to describe this tax savings is
depreciation tax shield. The tax savings resulting from depreciation
are calculated as follows:
Key Equation

Key Takeaway
- Companies that pay income taxes must consider the impact income taxes have on cash flows for long-term investments, and make the necessary adjustments. Investment and working capital cash flows are not adjusted because these cash flows do not affect taxable income. Revenue cash inflows and expense cash outflows are adjusted by multiplying the cash flow by (1 – tax rate). Although depreciation expense is not a cash outflow, it provides tax savings. The tax savings is calculated by multiplying depreciation expense by the tax rate. Once these adjustments are made, we can calculate the NPV and IRR.
Review Problem 8.7
- Find the NPV of this investment using the format presented in Figure 8.7 "NPV Calculation with Income Taxes for Scientific Products, Inc.".
- Should the company purchase the machine? Explain.
- The NPV is $50,112 as shown in the following figure.
a Initial investment purchase price does not directly affect net income and therefore is not adjusted for income taxes.
b Amount equals cash revenue before taxes × (1 – tax rate); $126,000 = $180,000 × (1 – 0.30).
c Amount equals cash expense before taxes × (1 – tax rate); $14,000 = $20,000 × (1 – 0.30).
d Depreciation tax savings = Depreciation expense × Tax rate. Depreciation expense is $100,000 (= $400,000 cost ÷ 4 year useful life). Thus annual depreciation tax savings is $30,000 (= $100,000 depreciation expense × 0.30 tax rate). - Yes, the company should purchase the machine. The positive NPV of $50,112 shows the return of this proposal is above the company's required rate of return of 10 percent.
Appendix
Present Value Tables
Figure 8.9 Present Value of $1 Received at the End of n Periods
Note: \(Factor = \dfrac{a}{(1+r)^n}\)
Figure 8.10 Present Value of a $1 Annuity Received at the End of Each Period for n Periods
Note: \(Factor = \dfrac{1-(1+r)^{-n}}{r}\)